Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.101681 0.117676 0.135145 0.155608 0.178892 0.204529 0.234864
2024-12-22 0.074635 0.095080 0.119393 0.150317 0.188473 0.233873 0.291835
2024-12-29 0.061427 0.085126 0.115473 0.156897 0.211642 0.281145 0.375642
2025-01-05 0.050075 0.074922 0.108940 0.158402 0.227859 0.321184 0.455169
2025-01-12 0.040108 0.064446 0.099894 0.154502 0.235516 0.350049 0.522640
2025-01-19 0.033065 0.056740 0.093231 0.152474 0.244815 0.381410 0.596257
2025-01-26 0.029746 0.054099 0.093551 0.160596 0.269657 0.437378 0.710988
2025-02-02 0.026820 0.051511 0.093411 0.167695 0.293367 0.493615 0.831290
2025-02-09 0.022414 0.045520 0.086628 0.162695 0.296556 0.517537 0.902624
2025-02-16 0.019342 0.041389 0.082378 0.161286 0.305264 0.550748 0.991490
2025-02-23 0.016434 0.037031 0.077018 0.157032 0.308244 0.574225 1.065648
2025-03-02 0.014087 0.033368 0.072389 0.153409 0.311712 0.598481 1.142770
2025-03-09 0.012688 0.031513 0.071142 0.156330 0.328045 0.647732 1.269811
2025-03-16 0.010808 0.028244 0.066517 0.151871 0.329655 0.670256 1.350478
2025-03-23 0.010128 0.027631 0.067437 0.158989 0.354972 0.739476 1.524064
2025-03-30 0.009124 0.026042 0.065964 0.160768 0.369527 0.789234 1.664715
2025-04-06 0.007886 0.023614 0.062196 0.156946 0.371827 0.814944 1.760541
2025-04-13 0.006931 0.021730 0.059413 0.154959 0.377772 0.848368 1.874304
2025-04-20 0.006636 0.021612 0.060926 0.163242 0.407313 0.932885 2.098609
2025-04-27 0.006304 0.021321 0.061956 0.170470 0.435166 1.016073 2.326447
2025-05-04 0.005456 0.019318 0.058228 0.165404 0.433911 1.036670 2.423861
2025-05-11 0.004864 0.017976 0.056052 0.163980 0.441092 1.076197 2.564830
2025-05-18 0.004240 0.016389 0.052940 0.159664 0.440710 1.098700 2.670153